Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Arena zur Vogtlandweide, Auerbach
The Footlab model makes Auerbach the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Budissa Bautzen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Auerbach (1,810) and Budissa Bautzen (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auerbach have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Budissa Bautzen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Plauen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfL Halle(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Budissa Bautzen(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | SC Freital(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Einheit Rudolstadt(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eilenburg(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 0-14 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Auerbach(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Auerbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Budissa Bautzen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Auerbach 4-2 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Budissa Bautzen 3-1 Auerbach | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Budissa Bautzen 0-3 Auerbach | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Auerbach 4-0 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Auerbach 1-1 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Budissa Bautzen 1-3 Auerbach | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Auerbach score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Budissa Bautzen score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auerbach | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Budissa Bautzen | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auerbach sit 10th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 2 matches) and Budissa Bautzen sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Auerbach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Budissa Bautzen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen?
- The Footlab model makes Auerbach the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Budissa Bautzen.
- Where and when is Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen played?
- Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen is played on February 21, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Arena zur Vogtlandweide, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.