Ejea vs Fraga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Luchán, Ejea de los Caballeros
The Footlab AI model makes Ejea the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Fraga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ejea wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ejea vs Fraga?
Ejea starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,648).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ejea vs Fraga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ejea
Not enough data to predict the Ejea lineup.
Fraga
4-3-3- CCésar
- RRamón Sanjuan Navarro
- AAlexis Quibus Berenguer
- MMarc García
- NNicolás Puch Ricart
- IIker Bautista
- MMarcel Ormo Suñé
- GGenís Serra
- IIván Combes
- IIvan Visa
- DDavid Jimenez Julian
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ejea have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Fraga have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Andorra CF(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CD Sietamo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Illueca(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Belchite 97(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Almudévar(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Almudévar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Robres(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Ejea wins, 0 draws, 0 Fraga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Ejea 2-1 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Fraga 0-2 Ejea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ejea score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fraga score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ejea | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Fraga | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ejea sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (12 points from 5 matches) and Fraga sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ejea | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Fraga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
A question about Ejea vs Fraga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ejea vs Fraga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ejea the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Fraga.
- Where and when is Ejea vs Fraga played?
- Ejea vs Fraga is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Luchán, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.