Brea vs Atlético Monzón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, Brea de Aragón
The Footlab AI model makes Brea the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Monzón. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brea wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brea vs Atlético Monzón?
On Elo ratings, Brea has 1,646 points and Atlético Monzón 1,852.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brea vs Atlético Monzón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brea
4-3-3- MMarzal Garcia
- JJorge Espinal
- HHugo Gracia
- PPablo AgustÃn
- SSamuel Cardo
- MMarcos Lorenz
- AAlejandro Conte
- 12Christian Yus
- DDaniel Porroche
- FFranco Ezequiel Gazzoni
- TTatu
Atlético Monzón
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Monzón lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brea have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético Monzón have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Andorra CF(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Sietamo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Belchite 97(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Almudévar(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fraga(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Robres(home) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Caspe(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Brea win, 0 draws, 2 Atlético Monzón wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Atlético Monzón 1-0 Brea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Brea 0-4 Atlético Monzón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Brea 3-0 Atlético Monzón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Monzón vs Brea on Mar 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Brea score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Monzón score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brea | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Atlético Monzón | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brea sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (11 points from 5 matches) and Atlético Monzón sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Atlético Monzón | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Brea vs Atlético Monzón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brea vs Atlético Monzón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brea the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Monzón.
- Where and when is Brea vs Atlético Monzón played?
- Brea vs Atlético Monzón is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.