El Dakhleya vs AL Nasr SC: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Al-Shorta Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes El Dakhleya the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for AL Nasr SC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Dakhleya vs AL Nasr SC?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate El Dakhleya (1,599) and AL Nasr SC (1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Dakhleya have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; AL Nasr SC have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mega Sport(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Proxy(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Aswan Sc(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Pyramids FC(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Jun 16, 2023 | Porto Suez(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group B |
| Jun 9, 2023 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-4 | Second League - Group B |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Olympic El Qanah(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 El Dakhleya win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 AL Nasr SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | AL Nasr SC 1-2 El Dakhleya | Second League - Group B |
| Oct 29, 2021 | El Dakhleya 1-0 AL Nasr SC | Second League - Group B |
| Mar 15, 2018 | El Dakhleya 1-1 AL Nasr SC | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2017 | AL Nasr SC 0-0 El Dakhleya | Premier League |
| May 1, 2015 | El Dakhleya 2-2 AL Nasr SC | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2014 | AL Nasr SC 0-4 El Dakhleya | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: AL Nasr SC vs El Dakhleya on Feb 25, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
El Dakhleya score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AL Nasr SC score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Dakhleya | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| AL Nasr SC | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Dakhleya sit 13th in Second League (1 points from 1 matches) and AL Nasr SC sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | AL Nasr SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | El Dakhleya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Dakhleya vs AL Nasr SC?
- The Footlab model makes El Dakhleya the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for AL Nasr SC.
- Where and when is El Dakhleya vs AL Nasr SC played?
- El Dakhleya vs AL Nasr SC is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Al-Shorta Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.