El Geish vs Wadi Degla: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gehaz El Reyada Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for El Geish. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Geish vs Wadi Degla?
Wadi Degla starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Geish have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Wadi Degla have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | El Gouna FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Pharco(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Ittihad(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Masr(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 28, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 El Geish win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Wadi Degla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | El Geish 0-2 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | El Geish 2-1 Wadi Degla | League Cup |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Wadi Degla 3-1 El Geish | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Wadi Degla 1-0 El Geish | Premier League |
| May 25, 2021 | Wadi Degla 0-1 El Geish | Premier League |
| Jan 15, 2021 | El Geish 1-0 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: El Geish vs Wadi Degla on May 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Geish score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wadi Degla score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Geish | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Wadi Degla | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Geish sit 5th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Wadi Degla sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | El Geish | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Geish vs Wadi Degla?
- The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for El Geish.
- Where and when is El Geish vs Wadi Degla played?
- El Geish vs Wadi Degla is played on December 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gehaz El Reyada Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.