Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ahly: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)El Mahalla Stadium, El-Mahalla El-Kubra
The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Ghazl El Mehalla. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ahly?
Al Ahly starts as the favourite with a 266-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghazl El Mehalla have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Al Ahly have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ghazl El Mehalla win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Al Ahly win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 2-1 Al Ahly | League Cup |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Al Ahly 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Al Ahly 3-0 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2022 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-2 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2022 | Al Ahly 2-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ahly on Dec 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ghazl El Mehalla score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahly score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Al Ahly | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghazl El Mehalla sit 20th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Al Ahly sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ahly?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Ghazl El Mehalla.
- Where and when is Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ahly played?
- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ahly is played on December 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at El Mahalla Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.