El Mansura vs Tersana: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 29, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)al-Manṣūrah Stadium, El Mansoura
The Footlab model makes El Mansura the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Tersana. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Mansura vs Tersana?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate El Mansura (1,681) and Tersana (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Mansura have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Tersana have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 El Mansura win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tersana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | El Mansura 1-1 Tersana | Second League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Tersana 0-0 El Mansura | Second League |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Tersana 2-1 El Mansura | Second League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | El Mansura 0-1 Tersana | Second League |
Last archived meeting: El Mansura vs Tersana on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Mansura score 0.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tersana score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Mansura | 0.8 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Tersana | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Mansura sit 4th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Tersana sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | El Mansura | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Tersana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Mansura vs Tersana?
- The Footlab model makes El Mansura the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Tersana.
- Where and when is El Mansura vs Tersana played?
- El Mansura vs Tersana is played on January 29, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at al-Manṣūrah Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Jan 29, 2027Ismaily SCvsEl Entag EL Harby
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