Tersana vs El Mansura: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mit Okba Stadium, Giza
The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for El Mansura. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tersana vs El Mansura?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Tersana (1,677) and El Mansura (1,681).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tersana have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; El Mansura have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Tersana win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 El Mansura win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | El Mansura 1-1 Tersana | Second League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Tersana 0-0 El Mansura | Second League |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Tersana 2-1 El Mansura | Second League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | El Mansura 0-1 Tersana | Second League |
Last archived meeting: El Mansura vs Tersana on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tersana score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; El Mansura score 0.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tersana | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| El Mansura | 0.8 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tersana sit 6th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and El Mansura sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | El Mansura | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Tersana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tersana vs El Mansura?
- The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for El Mansura.
- Where and when is Tersana vs El Mansura played?
- Tersana vs El Mansura is played on September 11, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mit Okba Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 10, 2026AL Nasr SCvsDayrout
- Sep 10, 2026PharcovsBaladiyyat Al Mehalla
- Sep 10, 2026Kahraba IsmailiavsEl Dakhleya
- Sep 10, 2026MasarvsEl Seka El Hadid
- Sep 10, 2026Mega SportvsHaras El Hodood
- Sep 11, 2026El Entag EL HarbyvsIsmaily SC
- Sep 11, 2026ItesalatvsTanta SC
- Sep 11, 2026Maleyet Kafr El ZayiatvsLa Viena FC