El Massira vs Chabab Ben Guerir: prediction and stats
Botola 2Matchday 10Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Moulay-Rachid, Laâyoune
The Footlab AI model makes El Massira the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Chabab Ben Guerir. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Massira vs Chabab Ben Guerir?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate El Massira (1,672) and Chabab Ben Guerir (1,656).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for El Massira vs Chabab Ben Guerir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
El Massira
Not enough data to predict the El Massira lineup.
Chabab Ben Guerir
Not enough data to predict the Chabab Ben Guerir lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Massira have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Chabab Ben Guerir have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Olympique Dcheïra(away) | 0-2 | Botola 2 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Wydad Fès(home) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Yacoub El Mansour(away) | 1-2 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Union Sportive Boujaad(home) | 2-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | KAC Kenitra(away) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Union Sportive Boujaad(away) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | KAC Kenitra(home) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wydad Fès(away) | 1-3 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Chabab Mohammédia(home) | 2-0 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mouloudia Oujda(away) | 2-2 | Botola 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 El Massira wins, 2 draws, 2 Chabab Ben Guerir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Chabab Ben Guerir 0-0 El Massira | Botola 2 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | El Massira 2-0 Chabab Ben Guerir | Botola 2 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | El Massira 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir | Botola 2 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | El Massira 0-2 Chabab Ben Guerir | Cup |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Chabab Ben Guerir 1-0 El Massira | Botola 2 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | El Massira 3-1 Chabab Ben Guerir | Botola 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chabab Ben Guerir vs El Massira on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Massira score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chabab Ben Guerir score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Massira | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Chabab Ben Guerir | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Massira sit 11th in Botola 2 (8 points from 8 matches) and Chabab Ben Guerir sit 12th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | El Massira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Chabab Ben Guerir | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about El Massira vs Chabab Ben Guerir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Massira vs Chabab Ben Guerir?
- The Footlab AI model makes El Massira the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Chabab Ben Guerir.
- Where and when is El Massira vs Chabab Ben Guerir played?
- El Massira vs Chabab Ben Guerir is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Moulay-Rachid, in the Botola 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026KAC KenitravsChabab Atl. Khenifra
- Nov 29, 2026Mouloudia OujdavsOlympique Safi
- Nov 29, 2026Olympique DcheïravsUSM Oujda
- Nov 29, 2026Riadi SalmivsChabab Mohammédia
- Nov 29, 2026Wydad FèsvsOlympique Khouribga
- Nov 29, 2026Yacoub El MansourvsIttihad Khemisset
- Nov 29, 2026Union Sportive BoujaadvsStade Marocain