Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda: prediction and stats
Botola 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal Ben Guerir, Ben Guerir
The Footlab AI model makes Chabab Ben Guerir the favourite at 50%, against 31% for a draw and 19% for USM Oujda. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,311 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Chabab Ben Guerir (1,654) and USM Oujda (1,644).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chabab Ben Guerir
Not enough data to predict the Chabab Ben Guerir lineup.
USM Oujda
Not enough data to predict the USM Oujda lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chabab Ben Guerir have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; USM Oujda have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mouloudia Oujda(away) | 2-2 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stade Marocain(home) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Olympique Safi(away) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Riadi Salmi(home) | 2-0 | Botola 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Union Sportive Boujaad(home) | 0-0 | Botola 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Wydad Fès(away) | 1-4 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Safi(home) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chabab Mohammédia(away) | 1-0 | Botola 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mouloudia Oujda(home) | 2-1 | Botola 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Chabab Atl. Khenifra(home) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chabab Ben Guerir win, 4 draws, 1 USM Oujda win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | USM Oujda 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir | Botola 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Chabab Ben Guerir 2-1 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
| May 18, 2025 | USM Oujda 3-3 Chabab Ben Guerir | Botola 2 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
| May 11, 2024 | USM Oujda 2-1 Chabab Ben Guerir | Botola 2 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
Last archived meeting: USM Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chabab Ben Guerir score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; USM Oujda score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chabab Ben Guerir | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| USM Oujda | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chabab Ben Guerir sit 11th in Botola 2 (4 points from 4 matches) and USM Oujda sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | USM Oujda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Chabab Ben Guerir | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chabab Ben Guerir the favourite at 50%, against 31% for a draw and 19% for USM Oujda.
- Where and when is Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda played?
- Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda is played on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal Ben Guerir, in the Botola 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Chabab Atl. KhenifravsUnion Sportive Boujaad
- Dec 6, 2026Olympique KhouribgavsEl Massira
- Dec 6, 2026Olympique SafivsRiadi Salmi
- Dec 6, 2026Mouloudia OujdavsYacoub El Mansour
- Dec 6, 2026Ittihad KhemissetvsOlympique Dcheïra
- Dec 6, 2026Chabab MohammédiavsWydad Fès
- Dec 6, 2026Stade MarocainvsKAC Kenitra