El Mokawloon vs Itesalat: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arab Contractors Stadium (Osman Ahmed Osman Stadium), Cairo
The Footlab AI model makes El Mokawloon the favourite at 83%, against 13% for a draw and 4% for Itesalat. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,517 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Mokawloon vs Itesalat?
El Mokawloon starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for El Mokawloon vs Itesalat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
El Mokawloon
4-2-3-1- 92I. Thiam
- 6D. Dokou
- 12Omar El Wahsh
- 25Joackiam Ojera
- 14Mostafa Gamal
- 22Mido Gaber
- 23J. Ochaya
- 5Mohamed Ammar
- 3Mohamed Hamed
- 26Ahmed Magdy Kahraba
- 18Mohamed Fawzi
Itesalat
4-3-3- 30A. Shika
- 35Nwanna Okechukwu
- 26Fernando Bassey Wisdom
- 25Mohamed Nosseir
- 20Ahmed Shadad
- 17Mohamed Ezzat
- 4M. Masoud
- 23Mostafa Afroto
- 7Ahmed Hossam
- 11Zohlek
- 16Hamza Moawad
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Mokawloon have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Itesalat have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al Ahly(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Masr(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | El Gouna FC(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Pharco(away) | 1-4 | Second League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | El Dakhleya(away) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | El Mansura(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Proxy(away) | 3-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 El Mokawloon wins, 1 draw, 0 Itesalat wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025 | Itesalat 1-1 El Mokawloon | Second League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | El Mokawloon 1-0 Itesalat | Second League |
| Mar 10, 2022 | El Mokawloon 1-0 Itesalat | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Itesalat vs El Mokawloon on Feb 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
El Mokawloon score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Itesalat score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Mokawloon | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Itesalat | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about El Mokawloon vs Itesalat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Mokawloon vs Itesalat?
- The Footlab AI model makes El Mokawloon the favourite at 83%, against 13% for a draw and 4% for Itesalat.
- Where and when is El Mokawloon vs Itesalat played?
- El Mokawloon vs Itesalat is played on November 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arab Contractors Stadium (Osman Ahmed Osman Stadium), in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.