El Mokawloon vs Smouha SC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Arab Contractors Stadium (Osman Ahmed Osman Stadium), Cairo
The Footlab model makes El Mokawloon the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Smouha SC. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Mokawloon vs Smouha SC?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate El Mokawloon (1,821) and Smouha SC (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Mokawloon have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Smouha SC have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Pyramids FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 El Mokawloon win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Smouha SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | El Mokawloon 1-1 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | El Mokawloon 0-1 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Smouha SC 2-1 El Mokawloon | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2023 | El Mokawloon 0-1 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Smouha SC 0-0 El Mokawloon | Premier League |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Smouha SC 1-1 El Mokawloon | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: El Mokawloon vs Smouha SC on Nov 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
El Mokawloon score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Smouha SC score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Mokawloon | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Smouha SC | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Mokawloon sit 17th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Smouha SC sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | El Mokawloon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Smouha SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Mokawloon vs Smouha SC?
- The Footlab model makes El Mokawloon the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Smouha SC.
- Where and when is El Mokawloon vs Smouha SC played?
- El Mokawloon vs Smouha SC is played on February 20, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Arab Contractors Stadium (Osman Ahmed Osman Stadium), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.