Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Petrosport Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Wadi Degla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly?
Al Ahly starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wadi Degla have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Al Ahly have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Masr(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 28, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Wadi Degla win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Al Ahly win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Al Ahly 3-1 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2021 | Wadi Degla 1-2 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2021 | Al Ahly 0-0 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Al Ahly 2-0 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2019 | Wadi Degla 0-3 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2019 | Wadi Degla 1-2 Al Ahly | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla on Jan 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wadi Degla score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahly score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wadi Degla | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Ahly | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wadi Degla sit 13th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Al Ahly sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Wadi Degla.
- Where and when is Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly played?
- Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly is played on February 19, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Petrosport Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.