Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Petrosport Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Wadi Degla. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly?
Al Ahly starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (2,081 vs 1,904).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wadi Degla
4-2-3-1- 10Mahmoud Diasty
- 8Ahmed Scholes
- 25Ibrahim El Bahnasi
- 17H. Hassan
- 22Zizo
- 7Youssef Oya
- 21Ahmed Reda
- 3Omar Adly
- 19A. Mahmoud
- 23Ahmed Ayman
- 1Amr Hossam
Al Ahly
4-2-3-1- 10M. Bakrar
- 25Zizo
- 17A. Bencharki
- 13Marwan Attia
- 15Omar El Saeey
- 12Akram Tawfik
- 2Yassin Marei
- 24Tawfik Mohamed
- 30Mohamed Hany
- 5Hady Reyad
- 31Mostafa Shobeir
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wadi Degla have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Al Ahly have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Pyramids FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Petrojet(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Ittihad(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 4-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kitara(away) | 2-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Wadi Degla wins, 1 draw, 5 Al Ahly wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Al Ahly 3-1 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2021 | Wadi Degla 1-2 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2021 | Al Ahly 0-0 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Al Ahly 2-0 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2019 | Wadi Degla 0-3 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2019 | Wadi Degla 1-2 Al Ahly | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla on Jan 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wadi Degla score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahly score 2.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wadi Degla | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Ahly | 2.2 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wadi Degla sit 15th in Premier League (7 points from 8 matches) and Al Ahly sit 2nd (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Wadi Degla.
- Where and when is Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly played?
- Wadi Degla vs Al Ahly is played on February 19, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Petrosport Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.