El Nacional vs Aucas: result 1-3 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 2Kick-off on February 16, 2019 at 12:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Aucas?
Aucas won 1-3 on February 16, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 2′P. BurzioAucas (pen.)
- 14′E. RodríguezAucas
- 18′Á. GraciaAucas
- 45′J. CaicedoEl Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Aucas have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2019 | Barcelona SC(away) | 2-5 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 14, 2018 | Emelec(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 7, 2018 | Delfin SC(home) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 1, 2018 | Aucas(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 24, 2018 | Macara(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2019 | Emelec(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 14, 2018 | Delfin SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 10, 2018 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 1, 2018 | El Nacional(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 23, 2018 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 El Nacional win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Aucas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2018 | El Nacional 1-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Aucas 3-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| May 8, 2016 | El Nacional 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Mar 27, 2016 | Aucas 0-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| May 10, 2015 | El Nacional 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Mar 8, 2015 | Aucas 2-3 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aucas score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Aucas | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 16, 2019CD Olmedo1-0America de Quito
- Feb 16, 2019Universidad Catolica0-0LDU de Quito
- Feb 17, 2019Macara0-0Barcelona SC
- Feb 17, 2019Mushuc Runa SC1-1Deportivo Cuenca
- Feb 17, 2019Emelec1-2Fuerza Amarilla
- Feb 17, 2019Delfin SC0-1Guayaquil City FC
- Feb 19, 2019Independiente del Valle1-0Tecnico Universitario