El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 12Kick-off on May 12, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle?
Independiente del Valle won 1-2 on May 12, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 56′C. VelezEl Nacional
- 85′K. PáezIndependiente del Valle (pen.)
- 87′Alex Renato Ibarra MinaIndependiente del Valle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Independiente del Valle have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2024 | Orense SC(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Delfin SC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Barcelona SC(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Imbabura(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 6, 2024 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2024 | San Lorenzo(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 5, 2024 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Imbabura(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 El Nacional win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Independiente del Valle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | El Nacional 2-1 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Independiente del Valle 3-4 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Oct 7, 2022 | El Nacional 0-2 Independiente del Valle | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 19, 2022 | Independiente del Valle 3-1 El Nacional | Copa Ecuador |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Independiente del Valle 2-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Aug 15, 2020 | El Nacional 2-4 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle on Dec 2, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente del Valle score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Independiente del Valle | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 67 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy