El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga Pro2nd Round - 15Kick-off on December 2, 2023 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle?
El Nacional won 2-1 on December 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 45′P. MercadoIndependiente del Valle
- 66′R. BorjaEl Nacional
- 79′B. OñaEl Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Independiente del Valle have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Gualaceo SC(home) | 4-2 | Liga Pro |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Barcelona SC(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Guayaquil City FC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Orense SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | Orense SC(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Aucas(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Nov 4, 2023 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 El Nacional win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Independiente del Valle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2023 | Independiente del Valle 3-4 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Oct 7, 2022 | El Nacional 0-2 Independiente del Valle | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 19, 2022 | Independiente del Valle 3-1 El Nacional | Copa Ecuador |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Independiente del Valle 2-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Aug 15, 2020 | El Nacional 2-4 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Oct 26, 2019 | El Nacional 4-2 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Independiente del Valle vs El Nacional on Jun 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente del Valle score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Independiente del Valle | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 67 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy