El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 10Kick-off on April 21, 2018 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Full time
What was the result of El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle?
Independiente del Valle won 1-2 on April 21, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 40′Maximiliano Fabián BarreiroIndependiente del Valle
- 71′C. PelleranoIndependiente del Valle
- 77′Á. GraciaEl Nacional
Official lineup for El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
El Nacional
- 9M. Parrales
- 16A. Muñoz
- 70J. Uchuari
- 11M. Balda
- 13R. Garcés
- 14Á. Gracia
- 18C. Batalla
- 8C. Cordero
- 15J. Carabalí
- 2L. Segovia
- 1J. Padilla
Independiente del Valle
- 20Maximiliano Fabián Barreiro
- 8J. Méndez
- 11B. Arce
- 15C. Pellerano
- 26A. Franco
- 3J. Segovia
- 5R. Schunke
- 16M. Cangá
- 18Bryan Steven Rivera Andrango
- 27F. León
- 25Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Independiente del Valle have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2018 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 1, 2018 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 25, 2018 | Guayaquil City FC(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 18, 2018 | Barcelona SC(away) | 1-5 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2018 | Emelec(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 1, 2018 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 17, 2018 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 El Nacional wins, 0 draws, 4 Independiente del Valle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2017 | Independiente del Valle 0-2 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Mar 2, 2017 | El Nacional 0-2 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Jul 20, 2016 | El Nacional 5-2 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Mar 10, 2016 | Independiente del Valle 1-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| May 16, 2015 | Independiente del Valle 1-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Feb 28, 2015 | El Nacional 1-2 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Independiente del Valle vs El Nacional on Jul 8, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente del Valle score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Independiente del Valle | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 77 | 35 | 81 |
A question about El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy