Match

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle: prediction and stats

Liga ProChampionship Group - 6Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito

AucasIndependiente del Valle

The Footlab AI model makes Independiente del Valle the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Aucas. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?

Independiente del Valle starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (2,017 vs 1,771).

13%23%64%
Aucas winDrawIndependiente del Valle win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Aucas vs Independiente del Valle

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Aucas

4-1-4-1
  1. 9R. Monti Azpiazu
  1. 21P. Guzmán
  2. 18Andrés David Mena Montenegro
  3. 6A. Spina
  4. 10A. Preciado
  5. 28R. Quiñónez
  1. 37A. Zova
  2. 2S. Morales
  3. 31B. Carabalí
  4. 16L. Gustavino
  1. 13Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez

Independiente del Valle

4-1-4-1
  1. 9C. González
  1. 10J. Sornoza
  2. 6J. Alcívar
  3. 16R. Briones
  4. 11M. Perelló
  5. 28H. Quintana
  1. 14M. Carabajal
  2. 5R. Schunke
  3. 13Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
  4. 15G. Cortéz
  1. 1A. Quintana

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 01:44 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Independiente del Valle have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aucas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Universidad Catolica(away)2-1Liga Pro
Oct 25, 2026Barcelona SC(home)0-4Liga Pro
Oct 17, 2026LDU de Quito(home)1-1Liga Pro
Oct 10, 2026Independiente del Valle(away)1-2Liga Pro
Sep 19, 2026Macara(home)1-2Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026LDU de Quito(home)2-0Liga Pro
Oct 29, 2026Delfin SC(away)3-0Copa Ecuador
Oct 23, 2026Universidad Catolica(home)0-0Liga Pro
Oct 17, 2026Macara(away)0-1Liga Pro
Oct 10, 2026Aucas(home)2-1Liga Pro

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Aucas wins, 1 draw, 5 Independiente del Valle wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Independiente del Valle 2-1 AucasLiga Pro
Jul 16, 2026Aucas 0-3 Independiente del ValleLiga Pro
Mar 14, 2026Independiente del Valle 2-2 AucasLiga Pro
Jul 19, 2025Independiente del Valle 2-1 AucasLiga Pro
Mar 28, 2025Aucas 1-2 Independiente del ValleLiga Pro
Sep 1, 2024Aucas 0-2 Independiente del ValleLiga Pro

Last archived meeting: Independiente del Valle vs Aucas on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aucas score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente del Valle score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aucas1.01.057/155/15
Independiente del Valle1.71.058/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aucas sit 3rd in Liga Pro (54 points from 35 matches) and Independiente del Valle sit 1st (81 points from 34 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Independiente del Valle342635773581
3Aucas3515911383854

A question about Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?
The Footlab AI model makes Independiente del Valle the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Aucas.
Where and when is Aucas vs Independiente del Valle played?
Aucas vs Independiente del Valle is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, in the Liga Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?