El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 5Kick-off on February 28, 2015 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle?
Independiente del Valle won 1-2 on February 28, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 5′Víctor Javier Corozo ValdezEl Nacional
- 36′B. CabezasIndependiente del Valle
- 38′Daniel Patricio Angulo ArroyoIndependiente del Valle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Independiente del Valle have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | Barcelona SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 8, 2015 | LDU Loja(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 1, 2015 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2014 | LDU Loja(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | Guayaquil City FC(home) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2015 | Barcelona SC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 8, 2015 | Deportivo Quito(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Deportivo Quito(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 El Nacional win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Independiente del Valle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2014 | Independiente del Valle 2-3 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Mar 15, 2014 | El Nacional 2-4 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| May 5, 2013 | El Nacional 3-0 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2013 | Independiente del Valle 2-1 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Jun 24, 2012 | El Nacional 1-2 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Feb 25, 2012 | Independiente del Valle 3-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Independiente del Valle vs El Nacional on Apr 19, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente del Valle score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Independiente del Valle | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 67 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy