Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC: prediction and stats
Copa EcuadorSemi-finalsKick-off on November 6, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
The Footlab AI model makes Independiente del Valle the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Delfin SC. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?
Independiente del Valle is a heavy favourite: 2,017 Elo points against 1,674, a 343-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Independiente del Valle
4-1-4-1- 9C. González
- 10J. Sornoza
- 6J. Alcívar
- 28H. Quintana
- 56E. Quintero
- 16R. Briones
- 14M. Carabajal
- 5R. Schunke
- 13Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
- 19L. Loor
- 1A. Quintana
Delfin SC
4-2-3-1- 99Leao Tenorio
- 34G. Heredia
- 31Jefferson Stalin Arce Mina
- 50T. Ozaeta
- 10Danny Gabriel Luna Morán
- 18J. Morocho
- 32A. Bedoya
- 14E. Zúñiga
- 5O. Medina
- 77B. Hernández
- 21B. Heras
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente del Valle have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Delfin SC have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | LDU de Quito(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Delfin SC(away) | 3-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Macara(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aucas(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-3 | Copa Ecuador |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Orense SC(away) | 0-4 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 4-2 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Independiente del Valle wins, 2 draws, 1 Delfin SC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Delfin SC 0-3 Independiente del Valle | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Independiente del Valle 3-2 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Delfin SC 0-1 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Independiente del Valle 0-0 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| May 31, 2025 | Delfin SC 1-1 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 1-2 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle on Oct 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente del Valle score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Delfin SC score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Delfin SC | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Independiente del Valle the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Delfin SC.
- Where and when is Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC played?
- Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC is played on November 6, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, in the Copa Ecuador.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.