El Porvenir vs Lugano: result 4-0 and analysis
Primera DRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 18, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich, Gerli, Provincia de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of El Porvenir vs Lugano?
El Porvenir won 4-0 on October 18, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Porvenir have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Lugano have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2014 | Leandro N. Alem(away) | 0-0 | Primera D |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Canuelas(home) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 29, 2014 | Claypole(away) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 22, 2014 | Sportivo Barracas(away) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 17, 2014 | Lugano(away) | 4-0 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | Leandro N. Alem(home) | 0-0 | Primera D |
| Oct 8, 2014 | Canuelas(away) | 0-5 | Primera D |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Claypole(home) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Sportivo Barracas(away) | 1-2 | Primera D |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Yupanqui(away) | 2-0 | Primera D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 El Porvenir win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lugano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2014 | Lugano 0-4 El Porvenir | Primera D |
| Mar 7, 2014 | El Porvenir 1-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Lugano 0-1 El Porvenir | Primera D |
Last archived meeting: Lugano vs El Porvenir on Sep 17, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
El Porvenir score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Porvenir | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Lugano | 0.8 | 1.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy