Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?
Elazığspor starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Arnavutköy Belediyespor have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 4-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Adanaspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Elazığspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Arnavutköy Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0-3 Elazığspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Elazığspor 5-0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Elazığspor 2-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor 2-0 Elazığspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2021 | Elazığspor 0-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Elazığspor on Mar 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arnavutköy Belediyespor score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığspor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elazığspor sit 3rd in 2. Lig (69 points from 36 matches) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor sit 12th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elazığspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82 | 37 | 69 |
| 12 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 36 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor played?
- Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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