Match

Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ

ElazığsporArnavutköy Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?

Elazığspor starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,625).

Elazığspor win66 %
Draw21 %
Arnavutköy Belediyespor win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Arnavutköy Belediyespor have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elazığspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
May 4, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)4-22. Lig
Apr 25, 202624 Erzincanspor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026İskenderunspor(away)1-02. Lig
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Isparta 32 Spor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Adanaspor(away)1-02. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-22. Lig
Mar 28, 20261461 Trabzon FK(away)1-02. Lig
Mar 14, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(away)0-32. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Elazığspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Arnavutköy Belediyespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2025Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0-3 Elazığspor2. Lig
Oct 20, 2024Elazığspor 5-0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor2. Lig
Apr 24, 2022Elazığspor 2-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 1
Dec 5, 2021Arnavutköy Belediyespor 2-0 Elazığspor3. Lig - Group 1
Sep 28, 2021Elazığspor 0-1 Arnavutköy BelediyesporTürkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Elazığspor on Mar 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arnavutköy Belediyespor score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Elazığspor2.30.787/159/15
Arnavutköy Belediyespor0.71.074/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elazığspor sit 3rd in 2. Lig (69 points from 36 matches) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor sit 12th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Elazığspor362169823769
12Arnavutköy Belediyespor3413714403646

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor.
Where and when is Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor played?
Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Elazığspor and Arnavutköy Belediyespor

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