Where and when is Somaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ played?

Somaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Somaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, Soma

Somaspor

Aliağa FAŞ

The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Somaspor. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Somaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?

Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,537).

Somaspor win17 %

Draw21 %

Aliağa FAŞ win62 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Somaspor have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Aliağa FAŞ have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Somaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)	2-3	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Bursaspor(away)	1-5	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)	0-0	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Menemen FK(away)	1-2	2. Lig
Mar 28, 2026	Kırklarelispor(home)	2-0	2. Lig

Aliağa FAŞ
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 4, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	0-0	2. Lig
Apr 30, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Bursaspor(home)	0-5	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Menemen FK(home)	5-0	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Somaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aliağa FAŞ win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 9, 2026	Aliağa FAŞ 3-3 Somaspor	2. Lig
Sep 28, 2025	Somaspor 0-3 Aliağa FAŞ	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Aliağa FAŞ vs Somaspor on Feb 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Somaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Somaspor	1.3	1.6	5	8/15	10/15
Aliağa FAŞ	2.1	1.7	5	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Somaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (30 points from 34 matches) and Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th (69 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Aliağa FAŞ	34	21	6	7	81	32	69
15	Somaspor	34	8	6	20	41	68	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Somaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?: The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Somaspor.
Where and when is Somaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ played?: Somaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.