Elche II vs Real Murcia II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 · Matchday 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), Elche
The Footlab AI model makes Elche II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Real Murcia II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elche II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,620 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche II vs Real Murcia II?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Elche II (1,812) and Real Murcia II (1,792).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elche II vs Real Murcia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elche II
4-3-3- 42Héctor Peña
- FFlavio Dion
- 28Didac Castellá
- 37Mario
- 35Ali Houary
- MMontero
- JJavi Gómez
- VVicente Agulló
- DDiego Rosado
- 43Nico Salvador
- 40Owen Bosch
Real Murcia II
Not enough data to predict the Real Murcia II lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Real Murcia II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Elche II score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia II score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche II | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Murcia II | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche II sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (11 points from 10 matches) and Real Murcia II sit 16th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Elche II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | Real Murcia II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
A question about Elche II vs Real Murcia II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche II vs Real Murcia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elche II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Real Murcia II.
- Where and when is Elche II vs Real Murcia II played?
- Elche II vs Real Murcia II is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.