Lorca Deportiva vs Deportiva Minera: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
The Footlab model makes Deportiva Minera the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Lorca Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Deportiva Minera?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Lorca Deportiva (1,860) and Deportiva Minera (1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorca Deportiva have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Deportiva Minera have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Xerez(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eldense B(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lorca Deportiva win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Deportiva Minera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Deportiva Minera 1-0 Lorca Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Lorca Deportiva 2-1 Deportiva Minera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Lorca Deportiva 0-0 Deportiva Minera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Deportiva Minera 1-0 Lorca Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Lorca Deportiva 5-0 Deportiva Minera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Deportiva Minera 1-2 Lorca Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Deportiva Minera vs Lorca Deportiva on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lorca Deportiva score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Deportiva Minera score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Deportiva Minera | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorca Deportiva vs Deportiva Minera?
- The Footlab model makes Deportiva Minera the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Lorca Deportiva.
- Where and when is Lorca Deportiva vs Deportiva Minera played?
- Lorca Deportiva vs Deportiva Minera is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.