Eleftheroupolis vs Kavala: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Eleftheroupolis the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Kavala. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eleftheroupolis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eleftheroupolis vs Kavala?
On Elo ratings, Eleftheroupolis has 1,584 points and Kavala 1,715.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eleftheroupolis vs Kavala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eleftheroupolis
Not enough data to predict the Eleftheroupolis lineup.
Kavala
4-3-3- 9M. Sifneos
- 11Yusri El Kandoussi
- 70Giannis Spandonidis
- 21Rakip Bregu
- 20V. Demosthenous
- 73Georgios Simitos
- 7V. Katsoulidis
- 3Konstantinos Dionellis
- 98Jakub Hrustinec
- 5Manolis Aliatidis
- 1Makis Giannikoglou
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 02:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Eleftheroupolis have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Kavala have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pontion Nea Amisos(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kavala(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Eleftheroupolis(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Apollon Paralimniou(away) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Thrakis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Eleftheroupolis win, 0 draws, 0 Kavala wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kavala 0-1 Eleftheroupolis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Kavala vs Eleftheroupolis on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eleftheroupolis score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 4; Kavala score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleftheroupolis | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 1/4 | 3/4 |
| Kavala | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
A question about Eleftheroupolis vs Kavala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eleftheroupolis vs Kavala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eleftheroupolis the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Kavala.
- Where and when is Eleftheroupolis vs Kavala played?
- Eleftheroupolis vs Kavala is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.