Kavala vs Doxa Neo Sidirochori: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Anthi Karagianni, Kavala
The Footlab model makes Kavala the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Doxa Neo Sidirochori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kavala vs Doxa Neo Sidirochori?
Kavala starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,438).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kavala have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Doxa Neo Sidirochori have 0, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 5-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | PAS Giannina(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(away) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | PAOK II(home) | 2-1 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2020 | Aetos Orfani(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Aris Avato(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Didymoteicho(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Kardia(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kavala score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Doxa Neo Sidirochori score 0.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kavala | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Doxa Neo Sidirochori | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kavala vs Doxa Neo Sidirochori?
- The Footlab model makes Kavala the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Doxa Neo Sidirochori.
- Where and when is Kavala vs Doxa Neo Sidirochori played?
- Kavala vs Doxa Neo Sidirochori is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Anthi Karagianni, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.