Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 38Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Langenau, Erlangen
The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Aubstadt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Eltersdorf (1,915) and Aubstadt (1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eltersdorf have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Aubstadt have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nürnberg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bayern München II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Eltersdorf win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Aubstadt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Eltersdorf 1-3 Aubstadt | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Aubstadt 0-0 Eltersdorf | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Eltersdorf 1-0 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Aubstadt 2-1 Eltersdorf | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eltersdorf score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eltersdorf | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Aubstadt | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eltersdorf sit 7th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 5 matches) and Aubstadt sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Eltersdorf | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Aubstadt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt?
- The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Aubstadt.
- Where and when is Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt played?
- Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Langenau, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027SpVgg UnterhachingvsTSV 1860 München
- May 22, 2027FC Schweinfurt 05vsSchwaben Augsburg
- May 22, 2027Bayern München IIvsAnsbach
- May 22, 2027Augsburg IIvsEichstätt
- May 22, 2027Greuther Fürth IIvsBuchbach
- May 22, 2027IllertissenvsWacker Burghausen
- May 22, 2027Nürnberg IIvsLandsberg
- May 22, 2027VilzingvsBayreuth