Match

Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 38Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Langenau, Erlangen

EltersdorfAubstadt

The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Aubstadt. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Eltersdorf (1,915) and Aubstadt (1,846).

Eltersdorf win49 %
Draw25 %
Aubstadt win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eltersdorf have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Aubstadt have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eltersdorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Greuther Fürth II(home)3-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Nürnberg II(home)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 8, 2026SpVgg Unterhaching(away)0-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Vilzing(home)0-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Bayern München II(away)1-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Aubstadt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026TSV 1860 München(home)2-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Buchbach(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Wacker Burghausen(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 23, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(home)5-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jun 20, 2026Würzburger FV(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Eltersdorf win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Aubstadt win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Eltersdorf 1-3 AubstadtFriendlies Clubs
Jul 6, 2024Aubstadt 0-0 EltersdorfFriendlies Clubs
Apr 13, 2022Eltersdorf 1-0 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 18, 2021Aubstadt 2-1 EltersdorfRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Eltersdorf score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Eltersdorf1.40.976/156/15
Aubstadt1.71.2210/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Eltersdorf sit 7th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 5 matches) and Aubstadt sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Eltersdorf5221548
12Aubstadt41211075

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt?
The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Aubstadt.
Where and when is Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt played?
Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Langenau, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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