Illertissen vs Wacker Burghausen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 38Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Wacker Burghausen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illertissen vs Wacker Burghausen?
Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,978 vs 1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illertissen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Wacker Burghausen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bayern München II(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Illertissen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Wacker Burghausen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Illertissen 3-1 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Wacker Burghausen 4-1 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Wacker Burghausen 1-1 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Illertissen 1-2 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Wacker Burghausen 3-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Illertissen 2-1 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Illertissen vs Wacker Burghausen on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wacker Burghausen score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Wacker Burghausen | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illertissen sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Wacker Burghausen sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Wacker Burghausen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illertissen vs Wacker Burghausen?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Wacker Burghausen.
- Where and when is Illertissen vs Wacker Burghausen played?
- Illertissen vs Wacker Burghausen is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Vöhlin-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027SpVgg UnterhachingvsTSV 1860 München
- May 22, 2027FC Schweinfurt 05vsSchwaben Augsburg
- May 22, 2027Bayern München IIvsAnsbach
- May 22, 2027Augsburg IIvsEichstätt
- May 22, 2027Greuther Fürth IIvsBuchbach
- May 22, 2027Nürnberg IIvsLandsberg
- May 22, 2027EltersdorfvsAubstadt
- May 22, 2027VilzingvsBayreuth