Elva vs Tartu Welco: result 1-0 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 1Kick-off on March 2, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
Full time
What was the result of Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Elva won 1-0 on March 2, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 83′M. VillemsElva (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Tartu Welco have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Legion(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 3, 2024 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Paide II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 0-10 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | Tammeka(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Tartu Kalev(home) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Tammeka(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 28, 2023 | FC Tallinn(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Elva win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tartu Welco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2021 | Elva 4-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Tartu Welco 3-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| May 6, 2021 | Elva 3-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Tartu Welco 2-1 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 20, 2019 | Elva 3-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 20, 2019 | Elva 3-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 2.0 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 1.3 | 2.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elva sit 4th in Esiliiga A (23 points from 16 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (38 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy