Elva vs Tartu Welco: result 0-1 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 28, 2024 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
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What was the result of Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Tartu Welco won 0-1 on September 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 17′Mark William MugraTartu Welco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Tartu Welco have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Flora II(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Paide II(away) | 4-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 15, 2024 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Laagri(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Team Helm(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Paide II(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 19, 2024 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 31, 2024 | JK Tabasalu(away) | 4-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Elva(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Elva win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tartu Welco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Elva 1-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Elva 4-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Tartu Welco 3-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| May 6, 2021 | Elva 3-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 2.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 2.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elva sit 4th in Esiliiga A (23 points from 16 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (38 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy