Elva vs Tartu Welco: result 2-1 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
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What was the result of Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Elva won 2-1 on August 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′John-Paul MbuthiaElva
- 38′R. JaagantElva
- 87′A. SongiseppTartu Welco
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Tartu Welco win at 60%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-2. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tartu Welco have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Läänemaa Haapsalu(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nõmme United II(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Rumori Calcio II(away) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Maardu(away) | 8-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elva wins, 1 draw, 3 Tartu Welco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Elva 0-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Tartu Welco 3-3 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Tartu Welco 3-2 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Elva 1-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Tartu Welco 2-5 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Elva 3-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 2.6 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 2.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elva sit 5th in Esiliiga A (52 points from 35 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (77 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 101 | 45 | 77 |
| 5 | Elva | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 50 | 51 | 52 |
A question about Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy