Elva vs Tartu Welco: result 2-1 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
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What was the result of Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Elva won 2-1 on August 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′John-Paul MbuthiaElva
- 38′R. JaagantElva
- 87′A. SongiseppTartu Welco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tartu Welco have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Läänemaa Haapsalu(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nõmme United II(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Rumori Calcio II(away) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Maardu(away) | 8-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elva win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tartu Welco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Elva 0-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Tartu Welco 3-3 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Tartu Welco 3-2 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Elva 1-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Tartu Welco 2-5 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Elva 3-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 2.6 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 2.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elva sit 4th in Esiliiga A (23 points from 16 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (38 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 38 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy