Elverum vs Lillehammer: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 6Regular Season - 17Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Elverum Stadion, Elverum
The Footlab model makes Elverum the favourite at 49%, against 19% for a draw and 31% for Lillehammer. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elverum vs Lillehammer?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Elverum (1,813) and Lillehammer (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elverum have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Lillehammer have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ull/Kisa(home) | 7-6 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oppsal(away) | 4-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ørn Horten(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fram(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sandefjord II(home) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Strommen(home) | 2-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Lyn II(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(away) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Raelingen(away) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Elverum win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Lillehammer win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Lillehammer 2-2 Elverum | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Elverum 3-0 Lillehammer | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Lillehammer 1-5 Elverum | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Elverum 1-1 Lillehammer | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Lillehammer 0-2 Elverum | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lillehammer vs Elverum on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elverum score 2.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lillehammer score 3.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elverum | 2.9 | 1.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Lillehammer | 3.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elverum sit 2nd in 3. Division - Girone 6 (34 points from 16 matches) and Lillehammer sit 1st (41 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 60 | 21 | 41 |
| 2 | Elverum | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 23 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elverum vs Lillehammer?
- The Footlab model makes Elverum the favourite at 49%, against 19% for a draw and 31% for Lillehammer.
- Where and when is Elverum vs Lillehammer played?
- Elverum vs Lillehammer is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Elverum Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.