Emelec vs Universidad Catolica: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 11Kick-off on May 5, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Full time
What was the result of Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
Emelec won 2-1 on May 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 7′J. AyovíEmelec (pen.)
- 51′F. GrilloUniversidad Catolica
- 56′F. LeónEmelec (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Universidad Catolica have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Barcelona SC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Aucas(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Cumbayá(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2024 | Barcelona SC(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Cumbayá(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Imbabura(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Emelec win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Universidad Catolica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2023 | Emelec 2-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| May 20, 2023 | Universidad Catolica 3-2 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Universidad Catolica 2-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| May 21, 2022 | Emelec 0-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Sep 27, 2021 | Emelec 2-2 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Apr 14, 2021 | Universidad Catolica 2-3 Emelec | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Emelec vs Universidad Catolica on Oct 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad Catolica score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Universidad Catolica | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 13th in Liga Pro (29 points from 25 matches) and Universidad Catolica sit 2nd (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
| 13 | Emelec | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy