Emelec vs Universidad Catolica: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga Pro2nd Round - 11Kick-off on October 29, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Full time
What was the result of Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
Emelec won 2-1 on October 29, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 72′A. ChaláEmelec
- 78′I. DíazUniversidad Catolica
- 90′A. ZapataEmelec
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Universidad Catolica have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2023 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Cumbayá(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 16, 2023 | El Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | Delfin SC(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Gualaceo SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Orense SC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 2, 2023 | El Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Emelec win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Universidad Catolica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2023 | Universidad Catolica 3-2 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Universidad Catolica 2-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| May 21, 2022 | Emelec 0-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Sep 27, 2021 | Emelec 2-2 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Apr 14, 2021 | Universidad Catolica 2-3 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Emelec 2-0 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Universidad Catolica vs Emelec on May 20, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad Catolica score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Universidad Catolica | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 13th in Liga Pro (29 points from 26 matches) and Universidad Catolica sit 3rd (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy