Emelec vs Universidad Catolica: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 4Kick-off on February 21, 2015 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Full time
What was the result of Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
Emelec and Universidad Catolica drew 1-1 on February 21, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 38′M. BolañosEmelec (pen.)
- 45′252661Universidad Catolica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Universidad Catolica have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2015 | LDU Loja(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 5-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 1, 2015 | Deportivo Quito(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 31, 2014 | Deportivo Quito(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | Aucas(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 30, 2014 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Emelec win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Universidad Catolica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2014 | Universidad Catolica 0-2 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2014 | Emelec 2-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Jun 27, 2013 | Emelec 1-0 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Jan 30, 2013 | Universidad Catolica 0-4 Emelec | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Universidad Catolica vs Emelec on Jul 6, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad Catolica score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Universidad Catolica | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 13th in Liga Pro (29 points from 26 matches) and Universidad Catolica sit 3rd (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy