Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 4Kick-off on February 21, 2015 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos, Sangolquí
Full time
What was the result of Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC?
Independiente del Valle won 3-2 on February 21, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 28′A. MinaIndependiente del Valle
- 43′M. MacielGuayaquil City FC
- 76′Jacson Mauricio Pita MinaIndependiente del Valle
- 81′P. CaballeroIndependiente del Valle
- 83′M. MacielGuayaquil City FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente del Valle have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Guayaquil City FC have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2015 | Barcelona SC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 8, 2015 | Deportivo Quito(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Deportivo Quito(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 31, 2014 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2015 | Dakota(away) | 0-3 | Division di Honor |
| Feb 14, 2015 | El Nacional(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 8, 2015 | Barcelona SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Aucas(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Dec 7, 2014 | La Fama(away) | 2-3 | Division di Honor |
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente del Valle score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Guayaquil City FC score 1.6 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 1.7 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Guayaquil City FC | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente del Valle sit 1st in Liga Pro (67 points from 26 matches) and Guayaquil City FC sit 10th (33 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 67 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy