Envigado vs Popayan: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - Quadrangular - 4Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Popayan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Envigado wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Envigado vs Popayan?
Envigado starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,622 vs 1,506).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Envigado vs Popayan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Envigado
4-3-3- 77D. Valencia
- 18G. Mujica
- 7D. Dawson
- 6J. Palacios
- 99Miguel Marulanda
- 19S. Acuña
- 28J. Gamboa
- 15G. Cuervo
- 2D. Palacios
- 5S. Noreña
- 88A. Tovar
Popayan
4-3-3- 18H. Mosquera
- 7J. Cuero
- 21P. Urrutia
- 17J. Andrade
- 10M. Aponza
- 34D. Cortes
- 35J. Viveros
- 3Kevin Hurtado
- 20Y. Andrade
- 6L. Pérez
- 12E. Obando
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Envigado have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Popayan have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Union Magdalena(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Patriotas(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Real Santander(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(away) | 4-2 | Primera B |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(away) | 0-3 | Primera B |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Envigado win, 1 draw, 0 Popayan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Popayan 2-2 Envigado | Primera B |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Envigado 1-0 Popayan | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
Envigado score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Popayan score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envigado | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Popayan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Envigado sit 2nd in Primera B (68 points from 40 matches) and Popayan sit 11th (38 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Envigado | 40 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 68 |
| 11 | Popayan | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 43 | 38 |
A question about Envigado vs Popayan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Envigado vs Popayan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Popayan.
- Where and when is Envigado vs Popayan played?
- Envigado vs Popayan is played on November 10, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.