Ind. Yumbo vs Union Magdalena: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - Quadrangular - 4Kick-off on November 9, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Union Magdalena the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Ind. Yumbo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union Magdalena wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ind. Yumbo vs Union Magdalena?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Ind. Yumbo (1,553) and Union Magdalena (1,598).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ind. Yumbo vs Union Magdalena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ind. Yumbo
4-3-3- 5J. Díaz
- 9A. García
- 7H. Mena
- 17L. Quiñones
- 8T. Diaz
- 20J. Rubiano
- 3D. Ferrer
- 27J. Ampudia
- 4J. Rodriguez
- 15J. Perdomo
- 22J. Méndez
Union Magdalena
4-3-3- 3D. Mera
- 7R. Blanco
- 9C. Iguarán
- 16O. Surmay
- 19F. Mosquera
- 14J. Farías
- 6D. Ortíz
- 25W. Sagrera
- 18F. Molina
- 2M. Ballesteros
- 34M. Tasso
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ind. Yumbo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Union Magdalena have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Union Magdalena(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 2-4 | Primera B |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Envigado(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Soacha(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 3-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ind. Yumbo wins, 2 draws, 1 Union Magdalena win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Union Magdalena 1-1 Ind. Yumbo | Primera B |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Union Magdalena 1-1 Ind. Yumbo | Primera B |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo 0-2 Union Magdalena | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo on Nov 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ind. Yumbo score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Union Magdalena score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ind. Yumbo | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Union Magdalena | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3 | 12/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ind. Yumbo sit 7th in Primera B (48 points from 33 matches) and Union Magdalena sit 3rd (64 points from 39 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Union Magdalena | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 53 | 37 | 64 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 48 |
A question about Ind. Yumbo vs Union Magdalena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ind. Yumbo vs Union Magdalena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union Magdalena the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Ind. Yumbo.
- Where and when is Ind. Yumbo vs Union Magdalena played?
- Ind. Yumbo vs Union Magdalena is played on November 9, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.