Epinal vs Creteil: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Colombière, Épinal
The Footlab model makes Creteil the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Epinal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Epinal vs Creteil?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Epinal (1,699) and Creteil (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Epinal have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Creteil have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dieppe(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Chantilly(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(away) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 1, 2026 | Biesheim(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colmar(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Angers(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Istres(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Epinal win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Creteil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Epinal 1-1 Creteil | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Creteil 2-0 Epinal | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Creteil 0-2 Epinal | National 2 - Group B |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Epinal 0-1 Creteil | National 2 - Group B |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Epinal 1-1 Creteil | National 2 - Group D |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Creteil 0-0 Epinal | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Epinal score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Creteil score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epinal | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Creteil | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Epinal sit 5th in National 2 - Group A (1 points from 1 matches) and Creteil sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Creteil | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Epinal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Epinal vs Creteil?
- The Footlab model makes Creteil the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Epinal.
- Where and when is Epinal vs Creteil played?
- Epinal vs Creteil is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Colombière, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.