Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, Ternopil
The Footlab model makes Metalist 1925 Kharkiv the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (1,797) and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | To4ka Odessa(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| May 17, 2025 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-3 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Persha Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Metalist 1925 Kharkiv score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 6th in Premier League (4 points from 3 matches) and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
- The Footlab model makes Metalist 1925 Kharkiv the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
- Where and when is Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv played?
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.