Equatorial Guinea vs Ivory Coast: result 0-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on January 12, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, Malabo
Full time
What was the result of Equatorial Guinea vs Ivory Coast?
Ivory Coast won 0-1 on January 12, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 5′M. GradelIvory Coast
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Equatorial Guinea have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ivory Coast have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | Mauritania(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Tunisia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Zambia(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2021 | Zambia(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Mauritania(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | Cameroon(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Mozambique(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 11, 2021 | Malawi(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Malawi(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 6, 2021 | Cameroon(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Equatorial Guinea score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ivory Coast score 1.5 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equatorial Guinea | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ivory Coast | 1.5 | 0.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Equatorial Guinea sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations (0 points from 3 matches) and Ivory Coast sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy