Match

Erbaaspor vs Adana Demirspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, Erbaa

ErbaasporAdana Demirspor

The Footlab model makes Erbaaspor the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erbaaspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Erbaaspor starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,611 vs 1,463).

Erbaaspor win58 %
Draw22 %
Adana Demirspor win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbaaspor have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Adana Demirspor have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erbaaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)1-32. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Ankaragücü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Elazığspor(away)0-32. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)0-22. Lig
Apr 4, 202624 Erzincanspor(away)2-32. Lig
Adana Demirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026İstanbulspor(away)1-81. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Ümraniyespor(home)1-31. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Boluspor(away)0-61. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Iğdır FK(home)1-61. Lig
Apr 7, 2026Hatayspor(away)0-41. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erbaaspor0.91.539/157/15
Adana Demirspor0.54.506/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Erbaaspor3610719406134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erbaaspor vs Adana Demirspor?
The Footlab model makes Erbaaspor the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Adana Demirspor.
Where and when is Erbaaspor vs Adana Demirspor played?
Erbaaspor vs Adana Demirspor is played on February 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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