Where and when is Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor played?

Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana

Adana Demirspor

Erbaaspor

The Footlab model makes Erbaaspor the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor?

Erbaaspor starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,600 vs 1,452).

Adana Demirspor win26 %

Draw24 %

Erbaaspor win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adana Demirspor have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Erbaaspor have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adana Demirspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	İstanbulspor(away)	1-8	1. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Ümraniyespor(home)	1-3	1. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Boluspor(away)	0-6	1. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Iğdır FK(home)	1-6	1. Lig
Apr 7, 2026	Hatayspor(away)	0-4	1. Lig

Erbaaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	1-3	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Adana 01 FK(home)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	24 Erzincanspor(away)	2-3	2. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Adana Demirspor	0.5	4.5	0	6/15	13/15
Erbaaspor	0.9	1.5	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Erbaaspor	36	10	7	19	40	61	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor?: The Footlab model makes Erbaaspor the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Adana Demirspor.
Where and when is Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor played?: Adana Demirspor vs Erbaaspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.