Erbil vs Al-Karma: result 1-1 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on January 10, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
Full time
What was the result of Erbil vs Al-Karma?
Erbil and Al-Karma drew 1-1 on January 10, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 52′Y. Ben SoudaErbil
- 58′Cedric ApokoAl-Karma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Karma have 4, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | Al Shorta(away) | 1-4 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Al Kahrabaa(home) | 4-3 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Al Hudod(home) | 3-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | Karbala(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 12, 2024 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Naft Maysan(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Zakho(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Karma score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Al-Karma | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 4/12 | 5/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erbil sit 1st in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Al-Karma sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Al-Karma | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy