Erbil vs Al Shorta: result 0-1 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 28, 2020 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
Full time
What was the result of Erbil vs Al Shorta?
Al Shorta won 0-1 on December 28, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 77′Alaa Ali MhawiAl Shorta
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al Shorta have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2020 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 17, 2020 | Al Karkh(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Naft Maysan(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Al Najaf(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 3, 2020 | Al Simawa(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2020 | Alamal Atbara(home) | 1-3 | Sudani Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2020 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 18, 2020 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Al Najaf(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Al Simawa(away) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shorta score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Al Shorta | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erbil sit 1st in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Al Shorta sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 | Al Shorta | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy