Erbil vs Baghdad: result 4-1 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 29, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
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What was the result of Erbil vs Baghdad?
Erbil won 4-1 on February 29, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 8′Mohammad QasemErbil
- 37′Mohammad QasemErbil
- 45′Raad FanerBaghdad
- 79′Yaseen SamiaErbil
- 90′Sherko KareemErbil
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Baghdad have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | Al Najaf(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Karbala(away) | 5-3 | Iraqi League |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Newroz(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 31, 2023 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | Al Talaba(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Zakho(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Naft Al-Wasat(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Duhok(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Karbala(home) | 3-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Erbil win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Baghdad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | Baghdad 1-1 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Erbil 1-2 Baghdad | Iraqi League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Erbil 2-2 Baghdad | Iraqi League |
| Oct 26, 2020 | Baghdad 0-2 Erbil | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Baghdad score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Baghdad | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy