Erchim vs Khovd Western: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 9, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Erchim Club Football Pitch, Ulaanbaatar
The Footlab AI model makes Khovd Western the favourite at 43%, against 19% for a draw and 38% for Erchim. The most likely score is 2-2. If Khovd Western wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erchim vs Khovd Western?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Erchim (1,362) and Khovd Western (1,361).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Erchim vs Khovd Western
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Erchim
4-3-3- 15Gal-Erdene Soyol-Erdene
- 10Munkh-Erdene Tuguldur
- 12Davaajav Battur
- 11Batbilguun Ganbaatar
- 24Tumurbaatar Dulguun
- 20Bilgüün Ganbold
- 8Enkhjargal Tserenjavyn
- 33Shinezuum Chunchignorov
- 32Davaakhuu Zoljargal
- 27Galt Tuguldur
- 1Ariunbold Batsaikhan
Khovd Western
Not enough data to predict the Khovd Western lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 12:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erchim have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Khovd Western have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Ulaangom City(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Khovd(away) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hunters(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Deren(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulaanbaatar(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Khovd(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Amtat FC(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Amtat FC(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ulaanbaatar(away) | 0-8 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hunters(home) | 2-6 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Erchim win, 0 draws, 0 Khovd Western wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Khovd Western 2-3 Erchim | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Khovd Western vs Erchim on Sep 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Erchim score 1.5 and concede 3.9 goals per match over their last 15; Khovd Western score 2.0 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erchim | 1.5 | 3.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Khovd Western | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erchim sit 6th in Premier League (12 points from 10 matches) and Khovd Western sit 8th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Erchim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 12 |
| 8 | Khovd Western | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 9 |
A question about Erchim vs Khovd Western?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erchim vs Khovd Western?
- The Footlab AI model makes Khovd Western the favourite at 43%, against 19% for a draw and 38% for Erchim.
- Where and when is Erchim vs Khovd Western played?
- Erchim vs Khovd Western is played on November 9, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Erchim Club Football Pitch, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.