Eritrea vs Congo: prediction and stats
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on November 20, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade d'Agadir, Agadir
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eritrea have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Congo have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2020 | Sudan(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 19, 2019 | Uganda(away) | 0-3 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 17, 2019 | Kenya(away) | 4-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Somalia(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 13, 2019 | Djibouti(away) | 3-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | Zambia(away) | 2-4 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Gambia(away) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Mali(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2023 | South Sudan(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 23, 2023 | South Sudan(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Eritrea score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Congo score 0.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eritrea | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
| Congo | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Congo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy