Erkenschwick vs Gievenbeck: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 20Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stimberg-Stadion, Oer-Erkenschwick
The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erkenschwick vs Gievenbeck?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Erkenschwick (1,648) and Gievenbeck (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erkenschwick have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Gievenbeck have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maaslingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Erkenschwick win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gievenbeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck 0-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Erkenschwick 2-1 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Gievenbeck 3-0 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Erkenschwick 1-1 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Gievenbeck 3-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Gievenbeck 0-0 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Gievenbeck vs Erkenschwick on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Gievenbeck | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erkenschwick sit 3rd in Oberliga - Westfalen (7 points from 3 matches) and Gievenbeck sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Gievenbeck | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erkenschwick vs Gievenbeck?
- The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Erkenschwick.
- Where and when is Erkenschwick vs Gievenbeck played?
- Erkenschwick vs Gievenbeck is played on February 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stimberg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027VredenvsMaaslingen
- Feb 28, 2027HiltrupvsSprockhovel
- Feb 28, 2027Preußen Münster IIvsTuS Hordel
- Feb 28, 2027Victoria ClarholzvsLippstadt 08
- Feb 28, 2027Westfalia KinderhausvsEnnepetal
- Feb 28, 2027Arminia IIvsSchermbeck
- Feb 28, 2027ASC DortmundvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Feb 28, 2027Verl IIvsEintracht Rheine